A Quick Note on Rob Schremp
by Jonathan Willis on Oct 22, 2009 10:43 AM PDT
in Analysis
4 comments
Rob Schremp, the controversial ex-Oilers’ prospect who was a healthy scratch Wednesday night as the New York Islanders won their first game of the season (4-3 in a shootout over Carolina) hasn’t been terribly impressive through five games in Long Island. This has prompted some to write him off – and I think that’s a mistake.
Don't misunderstand me here - I'm not saying it's a mistake to give up on Schremp. But for someone who has followed him during his time as an Oiler to change his mind based on a five game audition is ridiculous. One quick comparison - the projected seasons of Schremp and Shawn Horcoff right now:
- Rob Schremp: 82GP - 0G - 16A - 16PTS - -32
- Shawn Horcoff: 82GP - 10G - 10A - 20PTS - -31
That's what happens over small sets of data. Common sense tells us not to trust that Horcoff projection, and it should also tell us not to read too much into Schremp's first five games as an Islander.
It makes as much sense as fans who were demanding an NHL spot for him after four games last season. A brief NHL stint simply doesn't carry nearly as much weight as years of hockey in junior or the AHL does.
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What you didn’t mention.
Horcoff has been playing against the opposition top line, mostly with an indifferent Hemsky, and an unproven NHLer in Jacques, and coming close to sawing them off.
Horcoff is also taking 40% of the faceoffs and kiling penalties.
Horcoff is an elite matchup player whether he is scoring points or not. He can usually come out basically even against supposed “star” 1st line centres.
With Horcoff, what matters is NOT how many points he scores, but how many he prevents.
by godot10 on Oct 22, 2009 1:03 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
All that stuff is true of course. Even so, ther’s no way Horcoff ends up -30 and with 20 points, right?
A posse ad esse.
Writer for The Copper & Blue and OilersNation.
by Jonathan Willis on Oct 22, 2009 1:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You’ve seen J.F. Jacques play the gold old hockey game, yes?
Editor of The Copper & Blue, and leader of The Cult Of Hartikainen.
by Derek Zona on Oct 22, 2009 1:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think you’ve made some good points, but I think you may have missed the thrust of Jonathan’s article. I take it that Jonathan’s point is that no one should change their opinion on Schremp (or Horcoff, or anyone else) based on five games when we have tons of other evidence at hand. Most of your arguments regarding Horcoff do exactly this. So far this season, Horc hasn’t looked gangbusters against top opposition getting outscored and outchanced nearly every time out. It’s the evidence from previous seasons that should give us confidence.
by Scott Reynolds on Oct 22, 2009 2:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
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