Live blog: Canada v. Sweden
I'll be watching both games live, and doing updates on the Canada game here during the intermissions, with briefer entries in the comments section during the action. Do drop in and join me there.
Unlike the other three combatants today, the Swedes have no current Oilers, but do feature Oilers past (Dick Tarnstrom) and future (Linus Omark, pictured above and at right). I caught some of Omark's flashy skills at that Millennium Place prospects camp, but nothing that foreshadowed the big splash he made this year in the SEL not to mention Youtube. Young Lee-nus has also done himself at the proud at the Worlds, where he leads the Swedes in scoring with 2-8-10.
A key player for the Swedes on the back end is the old war horse Kenny Jonsson, who logs major minutes, contributes on the scoreboard (3-3-6) and leads the tourney by a wide margin in plus/minus (+12).
Canada will continue to rely on excellent special teams, including an awesome powerplay that has been clicking at 43.9% on 18-for-41. The PK unit has been solid allowing just 4 goals on 39 opportunities (89.7%), including a couple of extended 3-on-5s and even that 3-on-6. Only Austria of all countries has a better PK rate, while Canada's PP is far ahead of the pack. Of particular interest today is Sweden, who rank middle of the pack in both categories at +8/-8.
Thanks largely to special teams and goaltending (combined .948 Sv%), Canada leads the tourney in both GF (39) and GA (12).
To paraphrase the old saw about statistics, all of the above and $7.75 will buy you a beer at Rexall Place. Or it would, if Rexall were (ahem) open for business.
***
Update: Lindy Ruff has shuffled his top two lines, moving Shane Doan on to the Spezza line and bumping Heatley to the port side. Derek Roy assumes Doan's former spot with Stamkos and St.Louis, with MSL presumably lining up on the starboard side. The explanation was that the Ottawa duo needed to be shored up defensively. That's what Doan already Was doing with the Tampa tandem. Speaks volumes about the wonderful two-way game that Marty St. Louis brings to the table, but is less complimentary of Spezza and Heatley. The one constant in all this is that whatever line Shane Doan winds up on, he will help.
Game ON.
***
First intermission -- Canada 1, Sweden 0
Terrific first period. Both teams are flying, Canada a little higher and full value for the lead. What a beautiful goal it was, with tournament scoring leader Marty St.Louis burning Mattias Weinhandl along the end wall with a quick inside move, darting behind the net and drawing Weinhandl, the front-of-net defenceman, and the goalie to their right before slipping a back feed to Derek Roy lurking at the nearside post. With no defenders in sight, Roy merely had to make a high-skill play of taking the pass off the back of the cage, pull the puck just in front of the goal line, and roof one over a lunging Gustavsson from a very sharp angle. A sweet goal, especially for me. (I have "owned" both St.Louis and Roy long-term in my keeper league hockey pool, and am a big fan of both.)
Roy was flying all period, later making a superb play to receive a wayward pass outside the blueline, cut sharply to beat his man, drive wide and slip a seeing-eye pass through to Spezza for a dangerous deflection that Gustavsson did well to stop.
At the other end Roli was suctioning up pucks, wrapping himself around them and waiting for the whistle, secure in the knowledge that Canada has 3 guys in the top 20 in faceoffs, Sweden none. A couple of nervous moments in the late going though, especially when he failed to hold a muffin with a couple of seconds left in the frame.
On the blue, the impressive Drew Doughty has been paired with another fine youngster, Marc-Edouard Vlasic, with both getting Top Four minutes while Chris Phillips has been placed with Braydon Coburn on what seems to be the third pairing. The studly Shea Weber and Dan Hamhuis are clearly the top pair.
Second intermission -- Canada 3, Sweden 0
***
Postgame - Canada 3, Sweden 1
Objects in the mirror were much closer than they appeared, as the Swedes carried their momentum into the third, dominating play in the Canadian end for shifts at a time. The Canadians seemed a step slow to loose pucks and had a terrible time clearing the zone. Inevitably the Swedes capaitalized with a goal 6 minutes in, as the Spezza-Heatley combination got burned yet again. As PDO mentioned, that pair has been on the ice for every ES goal against but one in the tournament, as well as the 1 shortie against Latvia. Great on the powerplay but ...
The Swedes continued to bring it as my knuckles whitened. The turning point was a penalty to Roy around 9 minutes in, which the Canadians killed far more effectively than they had been killing the clock at evens. The game stabilized at that point as the Candians raised their effort to match the Swedes, winning more puck battles and earning a far better distribution of zone time. Heatley and Spezza languished on the bench for the most part, as can be seen in Lindy Ruff's distribution of ice time:
20:41 Fisher
19:22 Horcoff
16:01 Zajac
15:44 Roy
15:39 St.Louis
13:28 Lombardi, Stamkos
12:33 Doan
12:00 Upshall
10:53 Heatley
10:49 Spezza
10:36 Armstrong
While we're at it, let's look at the blue, where the new pairings achieved a clear hierarchy:
24:12 Hamhuis
23:28 Weber
22:10 Doughty
21:58 Vlasic
13:39 Coburn
12:13 Phillips
00:00 Schenn, Kwiatkowski
Any thoughts that Drew Doughty was being protected by Phillips can safely be dispelled. He has a poised all-ice game that is reminiscent of a young Raymond Bourque in that both looked completely at home in the NHL from Day One. Doughty has responded to his first World Championships by posting a creditable 8 GP, 1-6-7, +5 at age 19. Clearly Lindy Ruff likes what he sees; it's interesting to compare ice time for Doughty and fellow high draft pick (and fellow stud) Luke Schenn.
To finish the ice time review, Roloson played all 60 minutes between the pipes and delivered a strong performance with 25 stops. While Mason still has the statistical edge, Roli (2.20, .936) has faced the stronger opponents. Lindy Ruff has an interesting decision to make Sunday.
Speaking of Sunday, Oil Droppings will once against host a Game Day Thread. After an early-morning appetizer of Omark and O'Sullivan, the Gold Medal Game gets underway at half past Noon MDT. Canada-Russia, the classic rivalry, the rematch of last year's overtime thriller. The winner will be the first country to win 25 World Championships.
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A terrific contest which was literally not decided until the last second when the Americans made a great play to set up Patrick O'Sullivan, only to have the young Oiler "sniper" fire high and wide of the target from point blank range. The good news was that POS led all American forwards with 22:30 TOI, but did little with it (0 shots).
The Yanks have at least three forwards I absolutely covet as the type of player Oilers badly need. Unfortunately, I don't suppose Dustin Brown, David Backes, or Drew Stafford will be pried loose from their existing clubs anytime soon, as they are the type of players who are coveted everywhere.
The Russians were led in every way by Ilya Kovalchuk, who had an outstanding performance with a goal and an assist, a +2 rating, and a phenomenal 25:57 TOI, fully 50% more than the next closest Russian, either forward or defenceman! I am finally warming to Kovalchuk after years of indifference/dislike; he wears his emotions on his sleeve, but that can be a good thing. It sure was today.
Second in ice time at 17:19 was the Peripatetic Predator, Alexander Radulov. Radulov fired the decsive shot on a late-game powerplay, and his Fleury-esque celebration that followed eventually took him all the way to his own goal line. On his knees. Certainly left the impression that he was very happy to stick it to the Americans, and it's hard to argue that sentiment.
A little over-the-top with time on the clock, though, and the Americans came within an ace of evening the count.
by Bruce on May 8, 2009 12:05 PM MDT reply actions
by Bruce on May 8, 2009 12:09 PM MDT reply actions
Heatley and Spezza were both on for 5 of those ES goals and the shortie.
That's amazing.
Careful saying Horcoff has been good in a shutdown role... he's getting crucified for not scoring by the usual suspects, even though he hasn't spent a second in an offensive role.
by PDO on May 8, 2009 12:45 PM MDT reply actions
The Helicopter Line (no wings!) of Horcoff-Zajac-Fisher has been A-OK to my eye in the (parts of) games I've seen. Horc and Fisher have been the premier penalty-killers. At evens they're not scoring but are carrying the play on the forecheck, and have been reliable in the defensive zone. I'd love to see stats like QualComp and ZoneStart on these guys but as a long-time Horc fan, it seems to me pretty much business as usual.
by Bruce on May 8, 2009 12:56 PM MDT reply actions
Regardless of the role he has played Horcoff has looked mediocre at best in this tourney.
There's a reason why Zajac took his 3C gig.
by Traktor on May 8, 2009 12:57 PM MDT reply actions
Honestly, I haven't seen much of the tournament. I've seen him basically used like Madden, so I don't really care about the scoring... that would be gravy for Canada. Really, the only time Canada has scored period is on the PP... the entire team has had offensive issues at 5v5.
From what I've read, he's had issues on the dot, and that is why he was swung onto the wing?
Surprising, given he did pretty well on the dot last year, but sample size and all that.
by PDO on May 8, 2009 1:00 PM MDT reply actions
So Ruff must like a good chunk of the things he has been doing.
by PDO on May 8, 2009 1:01 PM MDT reply actions
Hey look kids, there's Big Ben! And there's Parliament!
by HBomb on May 8, 2009 1:04 PM MDT reply actions
by PDO on May 8, 2009 1:04 PM MDT reply actions
by Doogie2K on May 8, 2009 1:19 PM MDT reply actions
SCORE-COFF!!!!!!!!
by Bruce on May 8, 2009 1:19 PM MDT reply actions
Looks like Scorecoff opened up the floodgates eh?
Are Spezza and Heatley the two most one-dimensional players in the league? I mean, they're tearing this tournament a new one on the PP, but when it's evens they're getting wrecked.
by PDO on May 8, 2009 1:22 PM MDT reply actions
Didn't think so. Guy has deficiencies, but he's an elite finisher. Exactly the type of 1LW I'd want for the Oilers, given the choice.
I'd also settle for Kovalchuk.
by HBomb on May 8, 2009 1:26 PM MDT reply actions
by Bruce on May 8, 2009 1:28 PM MDT reply actions
I've been extremely underwhelmed by him... moreso Spezza, but both of them are just trainwrecks any time the puck isn't in the offensive zone.
by PDO on May 8, 2009 1:30 PM MDT reply actions
Glad to see those two generating some offense today.
Oh - anyone want to set an over/under on Shea Weber winning the Norris? I think he and Bouwmeester are going to do their fair share of battling over that trophy once Lidstrom and Niedermayer retire (although they'll still have the Pronger and Chara types to contend with).
by HBomb on May 8, 2009 1:31 PM MDT reply actions
Unfortunately, the guy who is constantly rumoured to be moving on (here?) is Spezza, not Heatley. I'm much less of a fan, he's got some great skill but also some huge warts which don't seem to be diminishing with age.
by Bruce on May 8, 2009 1:31 PM MDT reply actions
by Doogie2K on May 8, 2009 1:32 PM MDT reply actions
Problem being, Phaneuf already has a nomination because of the idiots who actually do the voting.
Weber is likely already better than Phaneuf ever will be.
by PDO on May 8, 2009 1:35 PM MDT reply actions
D2K: Note I didn't even mention Phaneuf in that discussion. The guy is not worthy of being discussed when talking about the Norris OR the Olympic Team at this point.
Like I said to Bruce earlier in the week - Weber IS what the media THINKS Phaneuf is.
by HBomb on May 8, 2009 1:35 PM MDT reply actions
HBomb's Answer (previously posted):
Pronger Niedermayer (veteran saavy)
Bouwmeester Weber (future Norris winners)
Seabrook Keith (ready-made shutdown pairing)
Green (D-man goal-scoring freak)
Also in running: Boyle, Regehr
Not considered: Phaneuf
by HBomb on May 8, 2009 1:41 PM MDT reply actions
by Traktor on May 8, 2009 1:42 PM MDT reply actions
by Doogie2K on May 8, 2009 1:44 PM MDT reply actions
by Traktor on May 8, 2009 1:45 PM MDT reply actions
In fact, I'd say it's not even close. The body of work does not justify the hype in the least.
And the Norris nomination was pure horse-shit. Even Flames fans know that.
by HBomb on May 8, 2009 1:46 PM MDT reply actions
Sub in Regehr for Bouwmeester, but play him with Pronger, and you have mine.
It's on NA ice. Let Pronger know he's only playing 20 minutes a night and watch kids get blown up all game long.
Goods times are had by all.
by PDO on May 8, 2009 1:46 PM MDT reply actions
Phaneuf hurt his hip in training camp. That's why he can't progress as a player and was on for the most goals against of any defenseman in the NHL.
IF his hip was okay, he'd be back to destroying 4th liners on open ice hits that put him out of position and getting caught with a dumb look on his face after PK goals where he's standing around doing nothing!!
by PDO on May 8, 2009 1:48 PM MDT reply actions
by Doogie2K on May 8, 2009 1:48 PM MDT reply actions
Because, sadly (and I use that term because we could have had him at 22nd in 2003), Kesler is the walking definition of the guy we need at center behind Horcoff and Gagner right now. Big, nasty right-handed center.
One or the other though? Horcoff.
by HBomb on May 8, 2009 1:50 PM MDT reply actions
Other studly blueliners on that 2005 team included Braydon Coburn, Cam Barker, and Brent Seabrook. And (sigh) Danny Syvret.
by Bruce on May 8, 2009 1:51 PM MDT reply actions
This here is a guy who has NOT bought into the Phaneuf hype-machine from minute one. And I'm not about to until I see some results that support the hype, some steak to go with the sizzle, some cattle to go with the hat...you get the idea.
by HBomb on May 8, 2009 1:52 PM MDT reply actions
by Bruce on May 8, 2009 1:53 PM MDT reply actions
Crazy.
I'd give Horc a slight edge in passing/play making but other than than that Kesler trumps Horcoff in every area, especially the grit department.
Then again I've been saying Fisher is the superior center for years and he plays a very similar style to Kesler.
by Traktor on May 8, 2009 1:55 PM MDT reply actions
Mike Green didn't make that 2005 team, even though he was eligible.
And all he did this season was score goals at a freakish rate for a d-man.
The guy I like that doesn't get enough credit is Coburn. He's turned into a nice stopper D-man in Philly. How Don Waddell wasn't fired on the spot for trading him for Alexei f'n Zhitnik is beyond me. That's "not getting Getzlaf for Pronger" bad right there.
by HBomb on May 8, 2009 1:57 PM MDT reply actions
Three years from now, you may be right. But right now? Horcoff's the proven power-vs-power guy with a better history of offensive production. Grit? Kesler's one of the grittiest guys in the damn league, so of course there's no comparison there.
by HBomb on May 8, 2009 1:59 PM MDT reply actions
by Ribs on May 8, 2009 1:59 PM MDT reply actions
by PDO on May 8, 2009 2:00 PM MDT reply actions
And before I can hit "publish", Sweden scores.
The team in blue has absolutely Owned this period.
by Bruce on May 8, 2009 2:03 PM MDT reply actions
by Doogie2K on May 8, 2009 2:03 PM MDT reply actions
by Bruce on May 8, 2009 2:05 PM MDT reply actions
by Sean on May 8, 2009 2:06 PM MDT reply actions
How did that go for him this year? I think his PTS/60 was sandwiched in between Smack and Reddox.
He certainly didn't do as well as when he had Reasoner and Stoll taking the brunt of the tough minutes but he certainly gets the rep for it.
by Traktor on May 8, 2009 2:08 PM MDT reply actions
by Bruce on May 8, 2009 2:10 PM MDT reply actions
by Bruce on May 8, 2009 2:12 PM MDT reply actions
Yet he still outscored going head-to-head with the other team's best.
He certainly didn't do as well as when he had Reasoner and Stoll taking the brunt of the tough minutes but he certainly gets the rep for it.
Calling bullshit. Having options in Stoll and Reasoner helped greatly (i.e. #10 didn't have to take EVERY SINGLE FUCKING DEFENSIVE ZONE DRAW), but for their tenure here, Horcoff was still the number 1 tough minutes option nine nights out of ten.
Saying otherwise is a flat-out line and is akin to those people who talked about Peca doing such a great job as the shut-down center in the 2006 playoffs (he wasn't the guy going head-to-head with Joe Thornton and Henrik Zetterberg, last time I checked).
by HBomb on May 8, 2009 2:12 PM MDT reply actions
by Doogie2K on May 8, 2009 2:13 PM MDT reply actions
by Doogie2K on May 8, 2009 2:14 PM MDT reply actions
Probably the single worst theft of the new millennium.
by Bruce on May 8, 2009 2:15 PM MDT reply actions
by Bruce on May 8, 2009 2:17 PM MDT reply actions
by Bruce on May 8, 2009 2:22 PM MDT reply actions
Go Canada! Goilers!
by Bruce on May 8, 2009 2:28 PM MDT reply actions
Certainly more violent than effective, haha. He definitely looked like he hasn't had to break out as a winger since about peewee hockey.
by Black Gold on May 8, 2009 2:30 PM MDT reply actions
Has anyone watched much of USA and POS?
I see he's getting points and a ton of ice time, but how's he looking..
by Black Gold on May 8, 2009 2:32 PM MDT reply actions
Canada was in trouble until they raised their effort to match the Swedes' and at least saw-off the ongoing puck battle. Horc's last shift was an example of such a saw-off; it was way more effective than it was pretty.
by Bruce on May 8, 2009 2:51 PM MDT reply actions
What a perfect way to describe everything 10 does. :)
by Black Gold on May 8, 2009 3:48 PM MDT reply actions
- he was out mostly against the St. Louis, Roy and Stamkos line
- the coach tossed him out for defensive zone draws; it was pretty much an even split between off. zone and def. zone.
- he can cycle and he's very strong on the puck; he was winning battles against much larger players
- he's crazy quick to pass; doesn't hang on to the puck when he's in danger, which both helps maintain possession and promote longevity
- he doesn't mind the danger areas
- he cheats for offense big-time
- he wasn't being used on the powerplay
Of course, that's based on half an hour of game; does that match what other people have observed?
by Jonathan Willis on May 8, 2009 5:02 PM MDT reply actions

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