The Copper & Blue: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Network Message: 50% Off: CBS/SB Nation Fantasy Baseball

Face-off Percentage, 2007-08

This is Jarret Stoll, facing off against one Joe Sakic, in what must have been a pretty typical encounter when the Oilers played the Avalanche this season. Stoll led the Oilers this season with a 55.08 winning % on the faceoff dot.

Faceoff wins are interesting in that they're the most over-rated under-rated statistic. I can't count how many times I've watched a hockey game and heard the commentator say how faceoffs are so critical but underappreciated. Given that virtually every colour guy in the league says that same line, I don't see how they can be underappreciated.

However, there is definitely some value there. While hockey isn't really a possession-driven game (or else the dump-and-chase tactic would never be used), its definitely better to start with possession of the puck. In critical situations (i.e. less than a minute left, third period) that faceoff win can mean the difference between a win and a loss.

The other thing about faceoffs is that they're typically won by veteran players. There are all sorts of ways to cheat at faceoffs, all sorts of sneaky little tricks, and generally the veterans have these down better than the youngsters. Take the Oilers' list, for example:

Jarret Stoll - 677/1229 - 55.08%
Dustin Penner - 104/189 - 55.02%
Marty Reasoner - 478/906 - 52.75%
Kyle Brodziak - 153/297 - 51.51%
Shawn Horcoff - 487/963 - 50.57%
Marc Pouliot - 21/44 - 47.72%
Sam Gagner - 125/299 - 41.80%
Andrew Cogliano - 215/542 - 39.48%

The only rookie on the right side of 50% is Kyle Brodziak, which, given his age and minor pro experience, probably isn't surprising. The Oilers under MacTavish have traditionally been a strong face-off team (particularly the 05-06 squad), so I have no doubt that guys like Gagner and Cogliano will eventually improve.

Unfortunately, we don't have statistical tools at our disposal to show us won/lost battles along the boards, and all of the small plays that occur in a game other than our eyes. I'm rather convinced that, if we did, we would see veteran players as a whole running roughshod over the rookies, even quality ones like the two guys at the bottom of the Oilers' faceoff list.

Finally, one real surprise to me- how effective Dustin Penner has been on faceoffs. I was a little skeptical when I saw MacTavish using him in that role on the powerplay (I haven't been a fan of converting wingers to the middle since MacT tried it with Smyth), but he's been an excellent faceoff man. I suppose it makes sense, given his size and strength, though.

0 recs  |  Comment 0 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

More from The Copper & Blue

The Cogliano Line

Apr 2009 by Derek Zona - 3 comments

Stuck In The Middle With Cogs

Mar 2009 by Derek Zona - 2 comments

Comments

Display:

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to SB Nation's Edmonton Oilers community.
Start posting about the Oilers »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

Connect_with_facebook

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Laraque_horcoff_250x360_small
Chris Minard Up; O'Sullivan Injured
Zorg_small
Falling Short of Expectations: Bottom Corsi Underachievers
Cooper_small
Taylor Chorney's Per-Game AHL numbers
Laraque_horcoff_250x360_small
Ryan Jones Tears MCL, Out 4 Weeks
Kurri_small
The Devils Struggles From A New Jersey Writer's Perspective
Laraque_horcoff_250x360_small
Smid Out for the Season
Laraque_horcoff_250x360_small
Arsene and Motin Demoted
Dsc00727_small
Losing Lubo hurts, but Whitney could turn out just fine
Laraque_horcoff_250x360_small
Day Thirteen (Seventeen): Gold
Laraque_horcoff_250x360_small
Day Twelve (Sixteen): Martin (and Bronze)

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Northwest Standings

GP W L OTL PT
Vancouver 67 41 23 3 85
Colorado 66 37 23 6 80
Calgary 66 33 24 9 75
Minnesota 65 31 28 6 68
Edmonton 66 21 39 6 48

(updated 3.11.2010 at 6:23 AM PST)

21 - 39 - 6

Lost 1

Oilers Stats Leaders

Stat

Forwards

Defense

TOI/G:

Horcoff (19:31)

Gilbert (21:50)

ESTOI/G:

Horcoff (14:40)

Grebeshkov (17:16)

Points:

Penner (48)

Visnovsky (32)

Goals:

Penner (24)

Visnovsky (10)

Assists:

Penner (24)

Visnovsky (22)

EV+/- /15

Penner (.122)

Smid (.090)

Shots:

Penner (169)

Visnovsky (78)

Corsi/15:

Penner(.675)

Visnovsky (.460)

SCF/15:

Penner (5.017)

Visnovsky (4.517)

SCA/15:

Stortini (3.954)

Gilbert (4.260)

SCDiff/15:

Penner (.581)

Visnovsky (.122)


Managing Editor

Kurri_small Derek Zona

Columnists

Cooper_small Jonathan Willis

Laraque_horcoff_250x360_small Scott Reynolds

Zorg_small Bruce McCurdy

Esaandstanley_small Benjamin Massey

European Desk

Keanu_small JohanBarrander